Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 91.903265 102.304535 112.862671 124.351986 136.472605 148.851464 162.421733
2025-10-19 75.075808 90.111041 105.981268 123.858739 143.320938 163.760826 186.746770
2025-10-26 64.500612 82.064939 101.158014 123.205230 147.729904 173.965686 203.953261
2025-11-02 57.107884 76.570437 98.280962 123.880991 152.864430 184.327986 220.748070
2025-11-09 50.166643 70.853094 94.515012 122.968585 155.704019 191.706715 233.842220
2025-11-16 44.908196 66.617089 92.031159 123.132623 159.418660 199.772709 247.438988
2025-11-23 39.697937 61.993121 88.721799 122.007334 161.372201 205.616080 258.331322
2025-11-30 36.458222 59.552578 87.810250 123.514815 166.210363 214.606624 272.665415
2025-12-07 33.738025 57.552990 87.261489 125.306127 171.258294 223.742172 287.086507
2025-12-14 30.011683 53.942685 84.485864 124.207101 172.729636 228.617833 296.520606
2025-12-21 26.229557 49.962304 81.013670 122.057212 172.783088 231.711017 303.786261
2025-12-28 25.420525 50.064952 82.764163 126.374372 180.613965 243.912943 321.608965
2026-01-04 23.920432 49.100334 83.086469 128.901286 186.309847 253.667323 336.686003
2026-01-11 21.373221 46.412877 80.990213 128.256816 188.053836 258.691957 346.205582
2026-01-18 19.066368 43.894877 78.983807 127.614111 189.708973 263.539769 355.458436
2026-01-25 17.399750 42.233997 78.057972 128.299340 192.957393 270.255965 366.885382
2026-02-01 15.380925 39.830529 75.974639 127.369389 194.109391 274.390800 375.209990
2026-02-08 13.859986 38.113840 74.772709 127.536593 196.590315 280.095134 385.371696
2026-02-15 12.115901 35.841307 72.655443 126.388775 197.334006 283.635528 392.910114
2026-02-22 11.208977 34.975286 72.549257 127.926440 201.484328 291.323579 405.409604
2026-03-01 10.440252 34.293364 72.675668 129.753414 205.988660 299.436816 418.417924
2026-03-08 9.056573 32.289377 70.712691 128.632535 206.631400 302.757323 425.622161
2026-03-15 7.583799 29.906762 68.045849 126.439652 205.808880 304.211974 430.526583